Morality and Ethics in the County of Oz

Morality and Ethics in the County of Oz

The 1939 film classic The Wizard of Oz, based on the book of the same name by L. Frank Baum, is considered a timeless children’s fantasy.  However, viewed from an ethical perspective, it contains many ethical issues and dilemmas.  The teenage heroine Dorothy Gale, is confronted with many moral and ethical dilemmas.  She is also affected by ethical choices made by other characters.  In this essay, I will broadly define morality, values and ethics and their relationship to the law, an individual, group or organization and a society.  I will also discuss two moral and ethical dilemmas involving Dorothy; first the moral obligation to obey the law and finally the moral and ethical obligation of citizens and public administrators to ensure the safety of minors.

Ethics, morality, values and the law are intertwined in society. Language however, confuses their meaning as they are often used as synonyms.  Their use as synonyms stems from being used to identify “What is good, right or just?”.  There are differences to note.  Ethics are a set principles that guide an individual’s actions to produce a positive or acceptable result.  They are external to the individual and often set by the organization or group the person belongs.  Ethics may be limited to specific situations.  Professional ethics, work ethics and the ethics of medical research are examples of this relationship and often require an obligation to comply.  Noncompliance with approved ethical standards may result in sanctions against the individual.  Ethical principles are derived from morals or beliefs concerning right and wrong commonly held by members of any given society. Morals vary over time, location and from person to person.  Morals typically originate from the religions, culture, traditions and other norms of that society.  Some morals are codified into laws.  Values are an individual’s ordering of morals given a certain situation.  As we begin to explore ethics and morality in the County of Oz, it is important to note we will evaluate these dilemmas though our own moral, legal and ethical lens.

Dorothy is confronted with the question of whether one must always obey the law when Miss Almira Gulch visits with a removal order issued by the sheriff for Dorothy’s dog Toto.  Miss Gultch is an influential and wealthy citizen who owns half of the town.  She alleges Toto, a very small dog, bit her and is a menace to the community.  She intends to have the dog destroyed.  Dorothy initially refused to comply with the apparently lawful removal order but did so after Auntie Em reviewed the order.  Auntie Em reminded Dorothy of her moral obligation to obey the law.

Video: Miss Gulch takes Toto from Dorothy

Objectively, Dorothy is likely correct in asserting Toto is not a menace to the community but that does not relieve her from her obligation to comply with the order.  Given the facts, the issuance of the order is suspect and obviously unjust.  Furthermore, it seems absurd that a sheriff would issue a removal order directing the euthanization of a dog where the victim is not hurt.  Miss Gulch was captured on film peddling her bicycle furiously on the road to the Gale Farm.  The only plausible explanation for the sheriff’s actions is Miss Gulch used her influence and possibly her wealth to coerce the sheriff into issuing the order.  If the sheriff did issue the order because of Miss Gulch’s influence peddling scheme or peer pressure, he would have demonstrated a lack of integrity and violated his professional ethics.

Children in our society are viewed as our future and large amounts of resources are vested by our government in their general welfare.  Considering the vast resources allocated to benefit children the question of “What are governments and public administrators expected to do to protect the welfare of children in society?” becomes apparent.  The most common programs involve providing services including healthcare, education, nutrition and protection from abuse.  In the Wizard of Oz, the Munchkin government failed to live up to the ethical principle of protecting children while the Emerald City government did shelter and provide basic services Dorothy needed.  These are examples of public administrators, on the one hand failing to and on the other meeting professional ethical standards expected of governments and public administrators.

Video: Twister: “Poor little kid I hope she gets home alright”

Dorothy blew into Munchkinland unannounced without an adult guardian and no viable means of support.  The Munchkins initially saw Dorothy as being responsible for the death of the Wicked Witch of the East.  Ultimately, the investigation did not determine Dorothy’s culpability or rule if the death was accidental.  The case was closed when the Coroner found the Witch of the East “most sincerely dead.”  It seems the circumstances of her arrival and the high-profile investigation that followed distracted the Munchkins from realizing Dorothy was a minor in need of assistance and not a conquering hero.  Instead of providing the needed assistance, they convinced Dorothy it was better to seek help from the chief administrator of the Emerald City government.  Dorothy may have been pressured to undertake the journey by repeated chants of “follow the yellowbrick road.”  The decision to allow her journey to see Emerald City’s Wizard of Oz, via the knowingly dangerous Yellowbrick Road even with the company of her resourceful and ferocious dog Toto, is questionable at best.

Video: The investigation into the death of the Wicked Witch of the East.

On the other hand, Dorothy was immediately provided for once she entered the Emerald City.  As Dorothy and her companions entered the Emerald City she, along with her travelling companions, was still effectively homeless, destitute and in need of assistance.  She relayed her state of affairs to the official gatekeeper and ensured her entry was legal by knocking instead of ringing the bell.  Upon her entry, she was provided transportation to “The Wash & Brush Up Co.”   This service company, in partnership with the city government, re-stuffed the Scarecrow, polished and oiled the Tinman, gave Dorothy a complete makeover and groomed both the Cowardly Lion and Toto.  The Emerald City also refused to comply with the Wicked Witch of the West’s demand to “surrender Dorothy”.

 

Video: Professor Marvel meets Dorothy Gale.

Professor Marvel actions in his encounter with Dorothy can be interpreted as moral or immoral because morals can as stated vary from person to person.  The moral question is again “How should a person ensure the welfare of a runaway minor?”.  After Toto escapes Miss Gulch and returns home, Dorothy decides to run away from home.  She encounters Professor Marvel, an acclaimed fortune teller on the road.  Marvel uses his “mystical powers” to guess Dorothy is a recent runaway looking for travel and adventure.  Dorothy asks to accompany Marvel but he must first consult his crystal ball.  As Marvel prepares Dorothy for her “look into the future”, he sees a picture of Dorothy and Auntie Em in her basket in front of their farmhouse.  He uses that knowledge with other “cold reading” fortune telling techniques, to convince Dorothy that Auntie Em is heartbroken and is becoming physically ill.

Believing the teenager will return home because of his subterfuge, Marvel ensures Dorothy’s welfare.  The use of the fortune telling ruse does not diminish Professor Marvels moral character.  In fact, it is enhanced by the deception.  He unquestionably ensured Dorothy returned home but he made her believe it was her idea as well.  Dorothy’s realization reinforces her commitment to her family.  This pragmatic outcome based judgement could be challenged by an idealist on moral grounds.  An idealist whose moral belief is that fortune telling is fraudulent and places minors in moral jeopardy would, even though the outcome was positive, hold Professor Marvels actions were immoral.

This assessment of the morality and ethics in the County of Oz can only mirror the ethical standards and morals of the critic.  We see in the actions of the public administrators in Munchkinland and Emerald City as operating under differing sets of ethics.  The characters’ in the Wizard of OZ can be seen to act both morally and immorally based on our own perspective.  Dorothy upholds her moral obligation to obey the law while the sheriff’s actions are allegedly unethical.  A pragmatist would hold professor Marvels actions were moral while an idealist may believe the use of deception in any case is immoral.  The morality, values and ethics are clearly my own, born of my unique life experience.

References

LeRoy, M. (Producer), Baum, L. F. (Writer), & Fleming, V. (Director). (1939). The wizard of oz [Motion Picture]. Hollywood, CA, USA.

Opioid Addiction: NY State Acts on Opioid Epidemic

Opioid addiction is not a new problem; it is however growing.  On June 22, 2016 Governor Cuomo signed legislation to address this epidemic. (NYS Governors Press Office 2016).  The recent work of the Governor’s Heroin Task Force defined the current problem well enough so that the Governor and other policy actors coalesced in support of this new legislation.  The political and public awareness of the heroin epidemic created a window of opportunity for this legislation.  The new legislation is the latest in a series of policies and legislation directed at addressing the problem of opioid addiction.   It is a good attempt at addressing a historically difficult problem.

A Familiarization and the Current Scope of Opioid Use in New York State.

Narcotic use has a long history in the United States.  In recent decades the drug of choice ranged from marijuana and hallucinogens in the 60’s, heroin and cocaine in the 70’s, crack in the 80’s, ecstasy and designer drugs from the 90’s and a now, recent uptick in the use of opioids.  Opioids are made from the poppy plant.  Afghanistan is the largest opium producer in the word.  Opium derivatives include heroin and prescription painkillers Codeine, Hydrocodone, Oxycodone, Tramadol and Fentanyl.  The most commonly prescribed opioid analgesics between 2009 and 2015 are Hydrocodone and Oxycodone (NYS Department of Health 2015).  The prevailing wisdom is these narcotics are overprescribed and facilitate addiction.  The rise in heroin dependence is due to the low cost and availability of the narcotic.

Related from the Brookings Institute: High and low politics in Afghanistan- The terrorism-drugs nexus and what can be done about it

In 2014, 2,028 New Yorkers died of an opioid drug overdose including 608 in New York City.  Specifically, heroin overdose is the leading cause of accidental death in New York State.  There has been a 222% increase in admissions to treatment programs for opioid addiction in the 18 to 24 year range between 2005 and 2014 (NYS Department of Health 2015).  The lead state agency in regulating treatment facilities and tasked with prevention of opioid addiction is the Office of Alcohol and Substance Abuse Services (OASAS).  Their budget for 2016 is 1.4 billion.  The budget includes 74 million for prevention programs.

The Problem Stream- Opioid Addiction a Social or Healthcare Problem?

     The problem of opioid addiction can be viewed as a social or healthcare problem.  Viewed through a social lens, the problem effects both the family and the community.  At the family level, addiction can break families apart.  The personality and behavioral changes the untreated addict exhibits can cause frustration for family members trying to help the addict.  Unreliability, mood swings and physical sickness become stressors for the family.  The large increase in 18 to 24-year-old admissions to treatment programs highlights the risk to the youth of New York and the potential of losing a generation.  Conservative values hold the family unit in high regard.    For conservatives, there is a lot at risk to do nothing.

Documentary Video: Ben-Diary of a Heroin Addict

Newborn’s at Risk:  Funding lacking for addicted newborn babies

Outside the family, addiction negatively impacts the community as well.  Crime is typically thought of as a consequence to addiction.  Addicts stealing property and burglarizing homes to feed their habit is true to some extent.  There is also truth to the realization the illegal sale of narcotics precipitates violence.  Dealers compete for locations to sell their product and often turf battles result is shootings or other assaults.  Addiction also effects the quality of life the community experiences as a whole.  Often substance abusers are the unfortunate homeless observed on the streets.  The effects of a fresh high on a heroin addict are apparent to adults and children alike.  Public health is jeopardized by the unsanitary conditions presented by used needles and the excrement left behind by addicts.  Crime, homelessness and public health issues secondary to addiction also add to the financial burden to the community.

Addiction can also be viewed as a healthcare problem.  Addiction is a treatable medical condition.  There were 37,747 emergency room visits for the treatment opioid related narcotics use in 2014.  This is a 73.1% increase from 2010.  Additionally, in 2014 there were 75,110 inpatient admissions to hospitals for treatment of opioid related conditions (NYS Department of Health 2015).  This high volume comes with a high cost in both expenditures and resources.

Related: Addiction in newborns

 

Addressing addiction through prevention and treatment can cut the spread of HIV and Hepatitis.  Medical screening and needle exchange programs facilitate improved health. Addicts are also more susceptible to disease than the non-addict.  The secondary medical complications to addictions are additional costs and stressors to the healthcare system.  Liberal values hold viewing addiction through the lens of a healthcare problem as the best means to address the problem.  Again, there is a lot to risk to do nothing.

The Political Stream.

Public pressure is a motivating force for policy actors.  The people of the State of New York are aware of the addiction epidemic and have brought pressure on the visible cluster of policy actors to legislate.  Part of the public awareness is attributable to the Combat Heroin and Prescription Drug Abuse Awareness Program.  This program was begun in September 2014.  The program used public service announcements, a social media campaign and print materials to inform the public of the problem and resources available.  The public again faced the problem almost daily with news reports of tragic deaths of our youth and arrests of major narcotics dealers.

NYS PSA on Opioid Abuse

     The visible cluster of policy actors is a high profile group of bi partisan elected officials on the federal, state and local levels.  Federal initiatives include The Comprehensive Addiction and Recovery Act of 2016. The bill was introduced by Democratic Senators in a Republican controlled Senate, passed and was sent to the House of Representatives.  The House also passed a version and currently the differences in the two bills are being resolved.  This federal legislation has many similarities to the New York State legislation.  On the State level, Governor Cuomo established the Heroin Task Force in 2014.  The task force was co-chaired by the Lieutenant Governor and the Commissioner of the Office of Alcoholism and Substance Abuse Services (OASAS).  In the report the task force clearly defined the current state of opioid abuse in New York State and published 25 recommendations to address the epidemic.  The day after Governors Cuomo signed the opioid legislation the New York City Council announced a hearing to reorient drug policy toward health and safety.  If adopted a new city agency would be created to coordinate drug strategy between city agencies.  The agency goal would be to promote health and public safety and reduce negative impact of past or current policies.  The increases in opioid addiction in every demographic and community across New York State coupled with public awareness and a clearly defined problem caused a tilt effect resulting in the current wave of legislative initiatives and policy revision at all levels of government.

The Policy Stream

The movement in New York City to reorient drug policy may signal the end of the previous policy regime.  Previous drug policy focused in large part on police enforcement and methadone treatment programs.  The current policy has expanded on these two basic principles of previous policy.  The last step of the multi stage policy cycle is policy evaluation.  This enables the continued development and evolution of policies.  Drug policy has evolved considerably since 2006.  Early incremental legislation includes the 2006 legislation directing first responders be trained in and allowed to administer naloxone.  Naloxone is similar chemically and has the same effects as Narcam.  The drug reverses the effects of opioid overdose.  The 2012 Prescription Drug Reform Act was enacted to curtail the over prescription of narcotics.  The legislation created the Prescription Monitoring Program (PMP) commonly known as I-Stop.  I-Stop is an application that tracks the dispensing of prescriptions in real time.  The benefit is twofold.  It identifies addicts engaged in “doctor shopping”.  Doctor shopping is seeking prescription for an illness requiring pain relief from multiple doctors.  The second benefit is it also identifies doctors that over prescribe narcotics.  In 2016 New York and New Jersey agencies agreed to share I-stop information.  In 2014 Good Samaritan legislation passed protecting those who administer naloxone.

Video Administer Naloxone:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jis6NlZMV2c

Published on Feb 10, 2014

Sarah Mackin, Program Manager at the Boston Public Health Commission explain the signs of someone who has taken an overdose and how to administer the Narcan nasal spray to hopefully save a life. – Boston Herald staff video by Matt Stone

     The hidden cluster of policy actors tasked with dealing with opioid addiction as part of their daily functions are lower level elected officials, administrators and special interest groups.  Criminal Justice policy actors are among the most outspoken advocates for treatment and enforcement.  Staten Island has the highest overdose rate in New York City (Staten Island Advance 2016) and District Attorney Michael McMahon, also a member of the Governor’s Heroin Task Force has begun an Overdose Response Initiative.  In this initiative investigators from the District Attorney’s Office will probe the circumstances surrounding overdose victims in an attempt to identify dealers that sold the fatal dose of narcotic.  The New York City Special Narcotics Prosecutor Bridget Brennan criticized the city’s efforts by saying “This city is just not doing enough, if we don’t do enough on the prevention end, it’s really like shoveling sand.” during a Council budget hearing at City Hall (Staten Island Advance 2016).

Public interest and advocacy groups also perform in the roles of a hidden policy actor.  Drug Policy Initiative (DPI) is an example.  DPI advocates for better means to quantify the success of current drug policy.  Harm, such as number of overdoses, persons in treatment, disease transmission are the key data points.  They see treatment as a better option for offenders instead of incarceration.

The cyclical swing from enforcement to treatment shows a trend of distributive and substantive policy elements replacing a protective regulatory policy.  The new legislation signed by Governor Cuomo includes provisions for eliminating insurance barriers to treatment, expanding the training and use of naloxone, limiting of prescriptions to a 7-day supply and directing data collection overdoses and prescription and overdoses reversals by the use of naloxone.

Overall the legislation is a solid attempt at reducing the rate of addiction.  Realistically opioid abuse will not end as a result of the legislation but as D.A. McMahon noted, “it is one step forward” (NYS Governors Press Office 2016).  The policy cycle begins anew as the current legislation is implemented.  The data collection requirement will provide new analytical avenues the will result in additional policy development.  There will again be a time when the problem, political and policy streams converge resulting in a new drug policy and possible even a new policy regime.

 

Bibliography

  1. Drug Policy Alliance. http://www.drugpolicy.org/new-solutions-drug-policy/states-laboratories-reform .

Governor’s Heroin and Opiod Task Force Final Report. 2016. Combatting the Heroin and Opioid Crisis. June 9. Accessed July 15, 2016. https://www.governor.ny.gov/news/governor-cuomo-signs-legislation-combat-heroin-and-opioid-crisis .

NYS Department of Health. 2015. New York State OPIOID POISONING, OVERDOSE AND PREVENTION 2015 Report to the Governor and NYS Legislature. http://www.health.ny.gov/diseases/aids/general/opioid_overdose_prevention/docs/annual_report2015.pdf

NYS Governors Press Office. 2016. June 22. Accessed July 15, 2016. https://www.governor.ny.gov/news/governor-cuomo-and-legislative-leaders-announce-agreement-combat-heroin-and-opioid-abuse-new .

Staten Island Advance. n.d. http://www.silive.com/news/index.ssf/2015/10/staten_island_heroin_now_deadl.html .

—. 2016. May 24. http://www.silive.com/news/index.ssf/2016/05/de_blasio_overdose_prevention.html .

—. 2016. March 23. Accessed July 20, 2016. http://www.silive.com/news/index.ssf/2016/03/da_9_fatal_drug_overdoses_on_s.html.

 

Back to the Future: The 2016 Election Cycle has a lot in Common with the 1976 Election Cycle

The Presidential elections of 1976 and 2016 have contextual and campaign similarities. War, terrorism, unemployment, recession, antiestablishment candidates and mistrust of the federal government are common issues in both elections. The 1976 primaries produced James Earl Carter and incumbent Gerald R. Ford as the respective nominees for the Democratic and Republican parties.  Carter ultimately wins a close election giving Democrats control of both the executive and legislative branches of government.  Understanding the contextual and campaign similarities, lessons from the 1976 Campaign may again be valuable to candidates in the 2016 Presidential Election.

Part 1-Context of the 1976 Campaign

Political Situation

     The 1976 election found incumbent Republican President Gerald Ford facing significant political, foreign policy and economic obstacles in his re-election bid.  Politically, the first obstacle was the fact that he was never elected to the Presidency.  Ford was sworn in as President after the resignation of Richard Nixon.  The circumstances of Nixon’s resignation and the attempted cover-up created an overriding feeling of mistrust for politicians and government in the electorate.  The second political obstacle also stems from the Watergate scandal.  The fact Ford was not elected made him appear vulnerable and an easy target for Democrats and fellow Republicans as well.

Foreign Policy and International Relations

    The Paris peace Accords ended the Vietnam War on paper in 1973.  American military forces remained in Vietnam in support and advisor roles with significantly reduced exposure to hostile fire.  In early 1975 North Vietnam calculated the time was right for a military push south and by April Saigon had fallen to the North.  The evacuation of Saigon was viewed both internationally and nationally as a picture of a weak America in retreat.  The Khmer Rouge, communist Cambodian guerillas, recognized the perceived weakness and seized the American flagged cargo ship Mayaguez in international waters off the coast of Cambodia one month after the evacuation of Saigon.

 

VIETNAM EVACUATION 1975
U.S. Navy personnel aboard the USS Blue Ridge push a helicopter into the sea off the coast of Vietnam in order to make room for more evacuation flights from Saigon, April 29, 1975. AP Photo

This era also saw terrorism arrive in America on a large scale. (Bergen 2015) The reasons for terrorist incidents ranged from international concerns to domestic politics.   Americans watched in horror as a Southern Airways flight from Birmingham was hijacked, making several stops in U.S. cities before landing in Havana, Cuba in November 1972.  Hijackings were common in the 1970’s for political and criminal reasons.  In 1975 dynamite was placed in a locker at LaGuardia Airport and the resulting explosion injured passengers and workers.  There were attacks on US embassies in Philippines, Cyprus and Malaysia between 1972 and 1975.  The attack in Cyprus killed the American Ambassador.  There were two additional assassinations of American Ambassadors between 1973 and 1976.  The kidnapping and execution of Israeli athletes by Palestinian terrorist at the 1972 Munich Olympics exposed was covered in great detail on the American television networks.  The media coverage exposed America to terrorism on a national level and brought the “terror” of terrorism into American living rooms.

Video: Jim McKay Munich Olympic Coverage

Relations between the three superpowers oscillated between détente and a proxy war in Angola.  The USSR and United States signed the Strategic Arms Limitation Talks in May 1972. This agreement limited the number of strategic ballistic missiles.  The superpowers put on a pretense of diplomacy all the while engaged in a proxy war in Angola.  The agreement stipulated that the parties would continue negotiations and a second round of talks began in November 1972.  This second treaty would be a high profile foreign policy objective for the next American President.

The Chinese government, uneasy with their two rivals’ attempts at non-confrontational relationship, agreed to a visit by President Nixon in February 1972.  The visit normalized relations between the United States and China.  It was hoped the visit would ease tension in China’s dispute with Taiwan and also open a new market for use goods. It was hoped the new Chinese market would stimulate the economy.

The Economy

    The economy of the early 1970’s was characterized by high unemployment and high inflation.  The simple fact there was more baby boomers than jobs.  Production of goods was down due to the gas crisis and rising oil prices.  Since the supply of goods fell the result was an increase in prices.  The high inflation and high energy costs sucked money out of the American household budgets.  The crisis was caused by an agreement between OPEC oil ministers to curtailed export of oil to the west in protest to the west’s support of Israel.

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The next American President would face a daunting task in having to restore the trust of the people in their government, devise a foreign policy best suited to protect American interests in a changing and increasingly violent world and alleviate economic hardship for the average American.

Part 2-Coverage of the Campaign

Pre-Primary

     The Summer of 1975 found both Republican and Democratic political vultures ready to pounce on a weak President.  While the vultures circled, President Ford was busy running the Government as he thought best.  The Republican President was opposed by a Democratic House and Senate.  The ideological difference between the branches caused little progress to be made on the issues of the day.  The Democratic legislature passed bills that Ford deemed expensive and inconsistent with his political platform.  Ford was not afraid to use the veto in this ideological battle.  In his 28-month Presidency he used the regular and pocket veto 66 times.  The vetoes were overridden only 12 times.  The vetoes of bills included funding education, providing healthcare and emergency employment.   Ford’s vetoing of these programs did not generate much political support from the electorate.

veto stats

The former Republican Governor of California Ronald Reagan was reported to be considering a run for the Presidency and in July 1975 Sen. Laxalt of Nevada announced the formation of the “Citizens for Reagan Committee”. The intent was to convince Reagan to run and provide funds for a campaign.

During the primaries seventeen Democrats contended for the nomination.   The leading Democratic contenders in 1975 were Sen. Edmund Muskie, Sen Henry Jackson and Congressman Morris “Mo” Udall.  A January 1975 poll had Sen Muskie ahead of Ford by one percentage point.  The field eventually contracted to five Senators, one Congressmen and two Governors.  The least known candidate was Gov. Jimmy Carter of Georgia.  Carters anonymity enabled him to run as a political outsider and a new face on the national political stage.  He did have strong establishment connections through his tenure as chair of the Democratic Governor’s Campaign Committee.  This gave Carter access to key democrats on national and local level.

The Primaries and Conventions

     Republicans Ford and Reagan battled throughout the primaries.  Ford’s early wins in Iowa, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Vermont, Florida and Illinois gave the incumbent a lead Reagan could not overcome.  Reagan did rally winning Texas in a Landslide followed by a majority of states in the west and the corn belt.  The late rally made the delegate count close.   In the end, Ford won a majority of delegates in 26 states with 53% of the popular vote while Reagan won 24 states and 46% of the vote.  Both candidates were short of the 1130 delegates needed for the nomination so the Republicans found themselves in a contested convention in Kansas City.

Reagan made a strategic error at the convention that ended his bid at the nomination.  In order to appeal to moderates and erode Fords edge in the north east, Reagan announced he had selected Pennsylvania Senator Richard Schweiker as his Vice Presidential running mate.  This move failed to attract moderates and alienated some southern conservative supporters.  The result was Ford won a close first ballot 1187-1070.  After Ford secured the nomination he announced Sen Bob Dole as his running mate. Dole, a Kansas Senator, with an eye to degrade Carters momentum in the corn belt.

  reagan and schweiker

The Democrats began the primary season in Iowa with a large field of candidates.  Jimmy Carter’s anonymity gave him the opportunity to present himself as an outsider even thought he was the chair of the Democratic Governor’s Campaign Committee.  This new face in the well-established Democratic party performed well in the early primaries finishing second in Iowa and winning New Hampshire a week later.  The second place finish in Iowa is significant in that a majority Iowans remained uncommitted rather than choose a candidate giving Carter a win of sorts.  The momentum from these early wins propelled Carter to victories in 30 states winning 40% of the popular vote.  The electorate responded to Carter’s message of “I will never lie to you”, a reference to the Nixon administration’s lies about the Watergate scandal.

There was resistance to Carter in the latter stages of the Democratic primaries. While Carter was short of the needed delegates a movement called “ABC” or anyone but Carter was mounted by California Governor Jerry Brown and Sen Frank Church of Idaho. Their campaigns won 8 of the later primaries but did not prevent Carter from winning the nomination.

abc presidential_memorabilia535

     In the end, eight of the democratic candidates won primaries which possibly indicated a weak and fractured party.  The convention was held in New York.  Carter easily had the delegates required for the nomination so the main goal of the convention was to present an image of a unified party going into the general election.

The General Election: Ford’s Storms Back but Falls Short

     A June Harris poll had Ford trailing behind the presumptive Democrat nominee 55-37.  The double digit gap can easily be attributed to Watergate, the Nixon pardon and Vietnam.  Ford did have time to make up ground as the poll was released three weeks before the convention and five months before the general election.  The Bicentennial gave sitting President Ford the opportunity to project himself as a face of patriotism.  Ford acted as the featured speaker in celebrations around the country during the Bicentennial celebration.  The flag waving fervor of the bicentennial and the coverage of the contested convention flipped the polling by the middle of July to a 53-36 advantage for Ford.

The polls again narrowed as both Carter and Ford fumbled during their campaigns.  Carter’s interview in the November issue of Playboy cost him southern conservative votes with quotes like “I’ve looked on a lot of women with lust. I’ve committed adultery in my heart many times.”  Ford’s gaff was during the second of three debates when he said “there is no Soviet domination of eastern Europe, and there never will be under a Ford administration.”  As a result, the polls narrowed again and on the eve of the election Ford held a mere 1 percentage point lead.

Playboy cover img-100213175501-0001

The results for the election were foreshadowed with the Nielsen TV ratings on the eve of the election.  The candidates bought alternating 30-minute time slots to air their respective political message on the three broadcast networks.  Carter won the ratings war with a 34.2% share to Fords 25.3%.  Carter won the popular vote 50.1% to 48 and the electoral college 297-240.  Ford however carried more states 27 to 23.  The election of Carter gave the Democrats the Executive and Legislative branches of the government.

Video: Ford 30 minute Election Eve Broadcast

Part 3-Lessons from the 1976 Campaign in Play during the 2016 Presidential Election

      The candidates of 2016 would be well served heading lessons from the 1976 election cycle.  When dealing with anti-government public sentiment a candidate should position themselves as an outsider as Carter did in 1976.  Candidates running as outsiders will eventually need their parties political network.  The candidate and establishment must embrace each other to at least give the appearance of party unity.  Also, candidates looking to avoid being bogged down by their political histories should promote a nationalistic platform rather than continuing to argue for their unpopular programs like Ford did in 1976.  Vice Presidential choices can help (Dole) or hurt (Schweiker) candidates in close general elections or contested conventions.

The 2016 election is indeed a trip to 1976 in many respects.  Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton is dogged by scandals including an incident where a U.S Ambassador was killed.  She faced a strong challenge from Bernie Sanders.  American foreign policy is mired in a proxy war in Syria.  The U.S. military has withdrawn from Iraq and Afghanistan allowing our ideological opposition to obtain hegemonic control of the region.  The United States is again attempting to compete in Chinese markets through the Trans Pacific Partnership.  Terrorist incidents have increased in tempo around the world. The republicans had seventeen candidates with political outsider Donald Trump the presumptive nominee.  Candidates Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders have built their campaigns around the public sentiment of distrust in government caused by rigged political systems.   The public perceives the economic recovery is to slow.  The head to head polls between presumptive nominees have Trump narrowing Clintons lead.  One difference is it seems the Republicans and Democrats have switched their positions a complete 180 degrees.  If history does indeed repeat itself, the inauguration of President Trump is inevitable.

 

 

Willowbrook Park Carousel Opens for 2016 Season

Opening draws families to park to enjoy a variety of outdoor activities

The first Saturday in May means the Kentucky Derby for most but for Staten Islanders it means the Carousel in Willowbrook Park is open.

“It’s good for the children to get outdoors and enjoy the carousel” said Fred Schaseizer, SR Manager.  “I can tell by their smiles, they only cry when they don’t want to get off”

The island themed carousel was built in 1999.  The carousel has 51 hand carved wooden animals to ride along with Noah’s Ark and and a handicapped seat.  The carousel includes depictions of 21 Staten Island landmarks including the historic Richmondtown Courthouse, Great Kills harbor and the Staten Island Ferry.  The St. Bernard is an exact replica of from the long lost south beach carousel.

With two bells, flashing lights and the optimistic I Gotta Feeling by the Black Eyed Peas playing the Carousel opened the season with Sevin Dogmus 4 aboard.

Video: Take a ride on the Carousel

“I am from Brooklyn and rode the merry-go-round at Nellie Bly” said Milay Dogmus Sevin’s mother.  “I want my daughter to have those memories too”

There were plenty of other activities for toddlers to enjoy.  The squeal of pigs and the crow of a rooster drew the children to a petting zoo and a finely dressed singing cat held youngsters memorized at the Puss in Boots puppet show.  Both provided by the NYC Parks Department.

The park was added to the Greenbelt in 1984.  The Greenbelt is a system of woodland parks with trails that cross Staten Island.  Willowbrook Park includes tennis courts, baseball fields and a 5 acre man-made lake.

“We talked about bringing them to see the ducks” said Marcia Herrera, mother of Asher, 4 and Avery, 2.   “Do you want to go for a carousel ride”

“It’s a Merry-go-round Mommy”, Asher said.  “I want to ride a tiger”

 

9 fatal drug overdoses on Staten Island in past month, D.A. says

From SILive March 23, 2016

District Attorney starts drug overdose response initiative District Attorney Michael McMahon spearheads drug overdose response initiative, where law enforcement and counseling services collaborate to stop the flow of heroin on Staten Island streets.

STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. — Nine people have died of a drug-related overdose on Staten Island in the month since the district attorney’s office announced a plan to closely investigate suspected overdose deaths, said a spokesman for the D.A.’s office.
There have been 10 reported overdoses on Staten Island since Feb. 22. One person was saved using the anti-overdose spray Naloxone, the spokesman said.

Last month, District Attorney Michael E. McMahon unveiled the Overdose Response Initiative, a law enforcement program designed to attack the drug plight at its source — identifying the dealers and suppliers who sell heroin, cocaine and pills around the borough and putting them behind bars.

New plan unveiled to probe OD deaths for dealer links
New plan unveiled to probe OD deaths for dealer links
Officials announced the Overdose Response Initiative, a new program that will probe drug overdose deaths to try to root out dealers.

“While I cannot discuss the specifics of any ongoing investigations, our newly-announced initiative is working as expected and has been fruitful thus far,” the spokesman said.

“This office aims to continue its work with family members of those who overdose in an effort to track down drug dealers and the deadly narcotics they peddle.”

According to city Health Department statistics, Staten Island recorded the highest rate of overdose deaths in the city in 2014, the most recent date available.

That year, 74 borough residents died of a drug overdose, spiking from 64 in 2013.

Heroin was involved in the overdose deaths of 42 Islanders in 2014, up from 32 in 2013.

McMahon had recently highlighted two apparent fatal overdoses, the death of a 26-year-old male on Feb. 24, the same day his office announced the initiative, and the death of an 8-month-pregnant woman.

“As we all know, Staten Island is facing loss to overdose deaths at an alarming rate,” McMahon had said in February during the announcement at Borough Hall in St. George. “Simply stated, our loved ones are dying. … My office is determined and committed to hunting down drug dealers, aggressively prosecuting them and sending them to prison.”

 

Top Ten Political Satire Tweets

Social media is critical to the candidates running for President in 2016.  All of the candidates have a presence online and on the major social media outlets like Facebook and Twitter.  They use these social media platforms to reach both supporters and undecided voters in hopes of getting out the vote and winning votes.

Social media is also a risk for candidates. For each attempt to rally the base or win an undecided voter there is potential for a satirical counterpoint.  It is unclear if this form of political satire sways public opinion but it is entertaining.  Here are retired2995’s favorite Top Ten Political Satire Tweets so far this election season.

10.  SNL is the James Bond of Political Satire-Nobody does it better and nobody is safe.

9.  Political cartoons- an american tradition.  Her are some from the Miami Herald cartoonist Jim Morin.

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8.  Late 1970’s Friday night TV, Can we do a Love Boat with Bernie and Hillary or Trump and Fiorina?

7.  If you think hard enough Bernie, you can come up with a few democrats and independents as well.  Healthcare for all means for all.

6. Where is Kasich?

 

5. I know how you feel Abe.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cc6-yqYW4AAI1A3.jpg:large

4.  Unconfirmed reports Gov. Christie has retained Daniel Webster in this matter.

3.  Anyone else thinking Titanic?

 

2.  Are they related?

  1.  It’s me Bernie…..

 

Florida Republican Primary- Monday February 15, 2016 to Sunday Mar 6, 2016-Super Tuesday Special

 

The Presidential Primary builds momentum in the Sunshine State as March 15 Primaries potentially make or break nominees.  Voters can request an absentee ballot be sent by mail between February 9 and March 9, 2016.  The five remaining candidates continue to compete for airtime but Trump, Rubio and Cruz dominate the news cycle. Quinnipiac released a new poll of likely Republican voters on February 25.   Florida Gov. Rick Scott has not endorsed a candidate.  In a late January press conference, he was asked of his plans to endorse a candidate and he replied he will before the Primary.  The interest in the Governors endorsement came likely because of an OP Ed in USA Today he wrote called “Donald Trump has Americas Pulse.”

Florida readies itself for the Primary 

The Sunday Feb 14 Miami Herald reported the absentee ballots were mailed out on February 9th.  These ballots include candidates that have dropped out since the printing.  According to Florida law early voting can begin February 29. The final opportunity to declare or change a party affiliation will be Tuesday February 16.  The herald observed that Floridians seemed to be focused on the election and election officials are preparing for higher than average turnout.  In 2008 42% and 2012 41% of registered Republican and Democrat voters participated in the primary.

Trump                                     trump 1

On the eve of the South Carolina primary Presidential Debate candidate Donald Trump packed the University of South Florida Sun Dome with 10,000 supporters.  Trump took the opportunity to attack Bush, eliminate common core and solicit the Hispanic vote.

A NY Times report alleged Trump is hiring foreigners in the country on H2B visas to work at his Mar a Lago estate in Palm Beach at the expense of Floridians.   The article says since 2010 300 Floridians applied for jobs at the estate but only 17 were hired.  Some hires were foreign in the country on temporary H2B visas which are reserved for persons without special skills and limited nationwide.   Persons in the United States on these visas cannot be hired before a US citizen.  In related campaign news Trump received endorsement from former Presidential candidate and New Jersey Governor Chris Christie.

Rubio                                          rubio 1

Marco Rubio has picked up the support of several local Florida Politicians.  The spurt of endorsements came after the endorsement of South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley and Jeb Bush suspended his campaign.   Gov. Haley committed this week to a Rubio rally on March 12 in St. Petersburg.  Rubio likes his chances and feels the race is narrowing.

“So you have had Donald Trump sitting at around 30 percent or so nationally — sometimes under, sometimes a little over and then you have 70 percent of the Republican electorate does not support Donald Trump.” Rubio said.  “That 70 percent has been divided between five to seven people. As this race continues to narrow, I think that’ll be easier and easier, for that 70 percent to coalesce.”

Rubio is looking mare like an establishment candidate.  He will open a campaign Headquarters in Jacksonville to focus on northeast Florida on Tuesday, a week ahead of the Super Tuesday Primary.  The new location is a few blocks away from Florida’s Republican Headquarters and the site of the republican mayor of Jacksonville’s 2015 campaign headquarters.

Cruz                                                  cruz 1

Ted Cruz hasn’t touched the Sunshine state recently.  He is in the headlines as news for his debate and campaign trail rhetoric.  The Florida-Elect Ted Cruz Facebook page has 3,717 likes.  I have more and in the latest poll he is in third behind Trump and Rubio at 12%.  It look like Florida is a lost cause for Cruz

 

Polls

A new Quinnipiac poll was released this week with Trump ahead easily in Florida.  The poll of likely republican voters showed Trump at 44% with Rubio (28%), Cruz (12%) Kasich (7%) and Carson (4%) trailing.  There are 15% either undecided or holding out for a Bush comeback.

Pre Super Tuesday

Super Tuesday’s available delegates are not enough to wrap the nomination but at the end of the day a little more than half of the 1327 needed will be split among the candidates.  Candidates will have a clear picture on what it will take to secure the nomination if they assess they still have a chance.  Electability in the general election will begin to be a concern for voters and donors.  Super Tuesday can completely change the landscape of the Florida primary.

Post Super Tuesday

Donald Trump is easily the big winner in the Super Tuesday primaries.  As of this writing, with results still not finalized, Trump wins in 7 states.  Cruz wins in Texas, Alaska and Oklahoma keeping his campaign alive.  Rubio added to his delegate total with a win in Minnesota and delegates awarded through proportional allocation.  Rubio is likely committed through the Florida primary.  Kasich wins Vermont and also appears to be committed through his Mar 15  homestate Ohio primary.  Carson stubbornly is remaining in the race.

“People have asked for somebody who is not a politician, who was a member of we the people, who has an outstanding life of achievement and who thinks the way they do,” he told Fox News.

In post election press conferences, both Trump and Cruz presented themselves as the unifying candidate for Republican party.

Political Tweet of the week:

The best political tweets this week were Super Tuesday related and found at:

#freechris christie

 

 

Florida Republican Primary- Monday February 15, 2016 to Sunday February 28, 2016

The Presidential Primary builds momentum in the Sunshine State as March 15 Primaries potentially make or break nominees.  Voters can request an absentee ballot be sent by mail between February 9 and March 9, 2016.  The five remaining candidates continue to compete for airtime but Trump, Rubio and Cruz dominate the news cycle. Quinnipiac released a new poll of likely Republican voters on February 25.   Florida Gov. Rick Scott has not endorsed a candidate.  In a late January press conference, he was asked of his plans to endorse a candidate and he replied he will before the Primary.  The interest in the Governors endorsement came likely because of an OP Ed in USA Today he wrote called “Donald Trump has Americas Pulse.”

Florida readies itself for the Primary

The Sunday Feb 14 Miami Herald reported the absentee ballots were mailed out on February 9th.  These ballots include candidates that have dropped out since the printing.  According to Florida law early voting can begin February 29. The final opportunity to declare or change a party affiliation will be Tuesday February 16.  The herald observed that Floridians seemed to be focused on the election and election officials are preparing for higher than average turnout.  In 2008 42% and 2012 41% of registered Republican and Democrat voters participated in the primary.

Trump

On the eve of the South Carolina primary Presidential Debate candidate Donald Trump packed the University of South Florida Sun Dome with 10,000 supporters.  Trump took the opportunity to attack Bush, eliminate common core and solicit the Hispanic vote.

A NY Times report alleged Trump is hiring foreigners in the country on H2B visas to work at his Mar a Lago estate in Palm Beach at the expense of Floridians.   The article says since 2010 300 Floridians applied for jobs at the estate but only 17 were hired.  Some hires were foreign in the country on temporary H2B visas which are reserved for persons without special skills and limited nationwide.   Persons in the United States on these visas cannot be hired before a US citizen.  Trump rivals smelled blood and attacked.  In related campaign news Trump received endorsement from former Presidential candidate and New Jersey Governor Chris Christie.

Rubio

Marco Rubio has picked up the support of several local Florida Politicians.  The spurt of endorsements came after the endorsement of South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley and Jeb Bush suspended his campaign.   Gov. Haley committed this week to a Rubio rally on March 12 in St. Petersburg.  Rubio likes his chances and feels the race is narrowing.

“So you have had Donald Trump sitting at around 30 percent or so nationally — sometimes under, sometimes a little over and then you have 70 percent of the Republican electorate does not support Donald Trump.” Rubio said.  “That 70 percent has been divided between five to seven people. As this race continues to narrow, I think that’ll be easier and easier, for that 70 percent to coalesce.”

Rubio is looking mare like an establishment candidate.  He will open a campaign Headquarters in Jacksonville to focus on northeast Florida on Tuesday, a week ahead of the Super Tuesday Primary.  The new location is a few blocks away from Florida’s Republican Headquarters and the site of the republican mayor of Jacksonville’s 2015 campaign headquarters.

Cruz

Ted Cruz hasn’t touched the Sunshine state recently.  He is in the headlines as news for his debate and campaign trail rhetoric.  The Florida-Elect Ted Cruz Facebook page has 3,717 likes.  I have more and in the latest poll he is in third behind Trump and Rubio at 12%.  It look like Florida is a lost cause for Cruz

Polls

A new Quinnipiac poll was released this week with Trump ahead easily.  The poll of likely republican voters showed Trump at 44% with Rubio (28%), Cruz (12%) Kasich (7%) and Carson (4%) trailing.  There are 15% either undecided or holding out for a Bush comeback.

Super Tuesday

March 1 is Super Tuesday.  The available delegates are not enough to wrap the nomination but at the end of the day a little more than half of the 1327 needed will be split among the candidates.  Candidates will have a clear picture on what it will take to secure the nomination if they assess they still have a chance.  Electability in the general election will begin to be a concern for voters and donors.  Super Tuesday can completely change the landscape of the March 15 Florida primary.

The candidates have been active on social media.  Here are some tweets to consider:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Do you really want to cover a modern Presidential election?

Laura Hazard Owen’s interview of The Boston Globe’s 2016 Election election reporter James Pindell is an eye-opener.   The Q & A with Pindell highlights the workload, the changing face of print journalism and the growing extent social media is used as a tool to deliver the Globe’s reporting to the consumer.

Pindell discusses the benefits of platforms he used including Twitter, email, Facebook and Periscope and Facebook live.

“Obviously Twitter is where the conversation is happening on the campaign trail: Pindell relates to Owen.  A quick check of the major candidate’s twitter feeds confirms this: Hillary Clinton 4.2K tweets/ 5.43M followers, Bernie Sanders 13.7K Tweets/1.47 M followers, Donald Trump 30.9K Tweets/6.24 M followers, Ted Cruz 3.9K tweets/697K followers.  Many candidates have multiple feeds relating to their respective campaigns.

Pindell used a Facebook live broadcast to provide real time coverage and analysis of the Primary.  This expands the Globe’s traditional print media footprint to include real-time news coverage delivered direct to their consumers.

The change in traditional print journalism is summed up in Pindell’s observation, “I’m digital first at the Globe”.

 

The complete article is available at:

James Pindell is trying to bring The Boston Globe’s election coverage to everyone by being everywhere By LAURA HAZARD OWEN