The Presidential Primary builds momentum in the Sunshine State as March 15 Primaries potentially make or break nominees. Voters can request an absentee ballot be sent by mail between February 9 and March 9, 2016. The five remaining candidates continue to compete for airtime but Trump, Rubio and Cruz dominate the news cycle. Quinnipiac released a new poll of likely Republican voters on February 25. Florida Gov. Rick Scott has not endorsed a candidate. In a late January press conference, he was asked of his plans to endorse a candidate and he replied he will before the Primary. The interest in the Governors endorsement came likely because of an OP Ed in USA Today he wrote called “Donald Trump has Americas Pulse.”
Florida readies itself for the Primary
The Sunday Feb 14 Miami Herald reported the absentee ballots were mailed out on February 9th. These ballots include candidates that have dropped out since the printing. According to Florida law early voting can begin February 29. The final opportunity to declare or change a party affiliation will be Tuesday February 16. The herald observed that Floridians seemed to be focused on the election and election officials are preparing for higher than average turnout. In 2008 42% and 2012 41% of registered Republican and Democrat voters participated in the primary.
Trump
On the eve of the South Carolina primary Presidential Debate candidate Donald Trump packed the University of South Florida Sun Dome with 10,000 supporters. Trump took the opportunity to attack Bush, eliminate common core and solicit the Hispanic vote.
A NY Times report alleged Trump is hiring foreigners in the country on H2B visas to work at his Mar a Lago estate in Palm Beach at the expense of Floridians. The article says since 2010 300 Floridians applied for jobs at the estate but only 17 were hired. Some hires were foreign in the country on temporary H2B visas which are reserved for persons without special skills and limited nationwide. Persons in the United States on these visas cannot be hired before a US citizen. In related campaign news Trump received endorsement from former Presidential candidate and New Jersey Governor Chris Christie.
Rubio
Marco Rubio has picked up the support of several local Florida Politicians. The spurt of endorsements came after the endorsement of South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley and Jeb Bush suspended his campaign. Gov. Haley committed this week to a Rubio rally on March 12 in St. Petersburg. Rubio likes his chances and feels the race is narrowing.
“So you have had Donald Trump sitting at around 30 percent or so nationally — sometimes under, sometimes a little over and then you have 70 percent of the Republican electorate does not support Donald Trump.” Rubio said. “That 70 percent has been divided between five to seven people. As this race continues to narrow, I think that’ll be easier and easier, for that 70 percent to coalesce.”
Rubio is looking mare like an establishment candidate. He will open a campaign Headquarters in Jacksonville to focus on northeast Florida on Tuesday, a week ahead of the Super Tuesday Primary. The new location is a few blocks away from Florida’s Republican Headquarters and the site of the republican mayor of Jacksonville’s 2015 campaign headquarters.
Cruz
Ted Cruz hasn’t touched the Sunshine state recently. He is in the headlines as news for his debate and campaign trail rhetoric. The Florida-Elect Ted Cruz Facebook page has 3,717 likes. I have more and in the latest poll he is in third behind Trump and Rubio at 12%. It look like Florida is a lost cause for Cruz
Polls
A new Quinnipiac poll was released this week with Trump ahead easily in Florida. The poll of likely republican voters showed Trump at 44% with Rubio (28%), Cruz (12%) Kasich (7%) and Carson (4%) trailing. There are 15% either undecided or holding out for a Bush comeback.
Pre Super Tuesday
Super Tuesday’s available delegates are not enough to wrap the nomination but at the end of the day a little more than half of the 1327 needed will be split among the candidates. Candidates will have a clear picture on what it will take to secure the nomination if they assess they still have a chance. Electability in the general election will begin to be a concern for voters and donors. Super Tuesday can completely change the landscape of the Florida primary.
Post Super Tuesday
Donald Trump is easily the big winner in the Super Tuesday primaries. As of this writing, with results still not finalized, Trump wins in 7 states. Cruz wins in Texas, Alaska and Oklahoma keeping his campaign alive. Rubio added to his delegate total with a win in Minnesota and delegates awarded through proportional allocation. Rubio is likely committed through the Florida primary. Kasich wins Vermont and also appears to be committed through his Mar 15 homestate Ohio primary. Carson stubbornly is remaining in the race.
“People have asked for somebody who is not a politician, who was a member of we the people, who has an outstanding life of achievement and who thinks the way they do,” he told Fox News.
In post election press conferences, both Trump and Cruz presented themselves as the unifying candidate for Republican party.
Political Tweet of the week:
The best political tweets this week were Super Tuesday related and found at:
#freechris christie